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				 As we have examined the progression to  diabetes, we have looked at the causes of diabetes, how we will your personal  risk of developing diabetes and how to prevent it. 
There are six risk factors for developing  Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus. There is a seventh in females.  SETMA has devised an electronic method for  assessing your risk every time you see your healthcare provider and a summary  of your risk can be given to at the time of your visit.  
Because the most important risk factor is  being overweight, SETMA's Diabetes-Prevention-Program document begins with the  following statement: "10-15 pounds of excess weight places a person at a  higher risk for developing diabetes, but 10-15% decrease in weight, even if a  person is obese, decreases that risk significantly."  This statement continues, "The bad news  is that more people are at greater risk of developing diabetes than think they  are, but the good news is that a person can help decrease their risk without  attaining their ideal body weight."  
The document then tells you how many  pounds you are over your ideal body weight and how many pounds (10-15% of total  body weight) you need to lose, in order to decrease your risk of developing  diabetes.  
The six factors which increase your risk  of developing diabetes are:  family  history, hypertension, elevated cholesterol, overweight/obesity, low birth  weight,  non-Caucasian ethnicity and in  the case of females a seventh which is gestational diabetes or diabetes during  pregnancy. 
Remember, these are “risk factors,” which  means one or more of these factors increase your chances of developing diabetes  but none of them determine that you will have diabetes.  Even having a parent with type 1 diabetes  does not mean that you will develop diabetes but it does increase your risk. 
Overweight/Obese  
Perhaps the most important risk factor for  the development of diabetes and also the most correctable factor is being  overweight. The twin epidemics of obesity and diabetes are expected to reduce  life expectancy in the not so distant future. Obesity afflicts 300 million  people worldwide, and an estimated 194 million have diabetes.  The total number of people with diabetes is  projected to hit 366 million by 2030.  The  number of Americans with diabetes is expected to almost double from 18.2  million in 2003 to 30.3 million in 2030.  
The United States ranks third behind India  and China in the incidence of diabetes.  When  you realize that almost one third of the people in the world who are overweight  or obese live in the United States, you see what a public health problem this  is in this country. Also, if you look at the dietary habits of the three  countries which have the highest incidents of diabetes, India, China and the  United States, you see that a high, non-fibrous carbohydrate diet contributes  considerably to weight gain and the risk of diabetes.  Non-fibrous carbohydrates include rice, white  bread, cereal, and potatoes. Another way of saying this is foods which are  “white.” 
Until recently adipose (fat) tissue was once  regarded as a passive, storage depot for lipids.  Science has now determined that the fat cell  is a highly active and complex gland. Alterations in adipose tissue metabolism  in obese individuals may be the missing link between insulin resistance - the  inability of the muscle, live and other tissues to respond properly to insulin  - and cardiovascular disease.   
Adipose tissue (fat cells) secretes a  number of substances which have a negative impact on health, which:  
  - dampen  the effect of insulin
 
  - impair  glucose utilization in skeletal muscle
 
  - promote  glucose production by the liver
 
  - impair  insulin release by pancreatic beta cells
 
 
Weight loss through diet and exercise is  the best approach to reduce visceral fat; fat around the liver and other organs  in the body. However, decreasing adipose tissue mass alone will not improve  metabolic abnormalities associated with obesity. When subcutaneous abdominal  adipose tissue was removed by liposuction in obese women with normal glucose  tolerance and women with diabetes, there were no significant changes in either  group regarding the fat cells production of the substances which harm one's  health.  
Clinical trials have demonstrated that  more than half of new cases of diabetes could be prevented through simple  lifestyle changes. The most effective ways to prevent diabetes are to maintain:  
  - A  body mass index (BMI) under 25 kg/m2 (optimal BMI is between 21 and 23 kg/m2) –  your healthcare provider should calculate your BMI each time you are seen.
 
  - To  exercise at least moderately for 30 minutes a day – this includes a brisk walk  or slow jog
 
 
When  overweight people in a diabetic prevention program: lost 7% to 10% of their  body weight and began taking half-hour walks 5 days a week, they decreased  their risk of developing diabetes by 58%.  
Low Birth Weight 
If your birth weight was less than 2,500  grams (5 pounds 9 ounces), you are at a higher risk of developing diabetes.  Those who were underweight at birth and become overweight in middle age have  the most severe insulin resistance and the greatest risk of Type 2 Diabetes  Mellitus, possibly because intrauterine growth restriction leads to inadequate pancreatic  development. At all ages, the risk of impaired glucose tolerance, or Type II  Diabetes Mellitus rises with increasing body weight.  
Blood Pressure  
If your blood pressure is greater that  130/80, you are at a higher risk of developing Type II Diabetes Mellitus.  The reasons for this are not totally clear but  it is well established that one of the causes of treatment-resistant  hypertension is insulin resistance. All of the elements of insulin resistance  contribute to inflammation in the arteries, to increase blood clotting and to  arterial constriction. Each of these increases the probability of the  development of hypertension and is benefited by the decreasing of abdominal fat  which decreases the production of the substances which harm the body.  
Abnormal Lipids  
Lipids are cholesterol, triglycerides,  high density lipoproteins (HDL) and other particles in the blood which  contribute to heart and vessel disease. The classification of lipid disorders  is complex but if you have Fredrickson's classification IIa, IIb or III you  have a significant risk of developing heart disease and each of these  abnormalities and others are both associated with the development of Type 2  Diabetes and are worsened by Type 2 Diabetes. You should know whether you have  a lipid abnormality and if you do, you should know what type you have.  Typically, a type IIa, IIb or III will require medication to effectively treat  and that treatment will often last a life time to be effective.  
You have an increased risk of diabetes due  to lipids, if your: 
  - Cholesterol is  over 150
 
  - HDL is below 40
 
  - Triglycerides are  above 150
 
 
In which case, you need to institute  life-style changes to improve each and/or you need to begin medication if  life-style fails to reach the desired goals.  If your lipids are abnormal, in order to  eliminate disease risk, your:  
  - Total cholesterol  should be treated to reach a level below 120, 
 
  - HDL above 40 and 
 
  - Triglycerides  below 90. 
 
 
Another lipid particle which is very  important is called low density lipoprotein (LDL) and it should be treated to  reach a level below 70.  
Conclusion  
The prevention of Type 2 Diabetes is  potentially accomplished by affecting each of these seven factors. Obviously,  there are several factors which you cannot change:  
  - Family  history 
 
  - Birth  Weight 
 
  - Ethnicity 
 
  - Gestational  Diabetes 
 
 
These four simply alert you to the fact  that you must pay special attention to the three factors which can be changed.  
There are three factors which can be  changed:  
  - Weight 
 
  - Blood  pressure 
 
  - Lipids 
 
 
The last two can be affected with  medication, but the most important way to change your blood pressure and your  lipids is the same way that you can change your weight:  
  - Exercise 
 
  - Dietary  modification 
 
 
This brings us to SETMA's LESS Initiative  which we will discuss next week.  
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